I got interested in this topic, after reading about Time Cycles from Murphy's book. Time cycle seems pretty much Fourier series analysis. Just to try it out, I took the monthly data for EURUSD for its entirety. First, this is the monthly EURUSD chart (x-axis is just data points). I take a Fourier Transform of this data, select the low-frequency components, and then Inverse Fourier Transform, to give this graph (red graph is the standard EURUSD Monthly data). The blue curve is showing an interesting cyclic pattern. It seems set to repeat a bullish wave. To make it cleaner, I pass the EURUSD monthly data through a Low-pass filter, set at cutoff frequency of 0.05 units (which is around 5 times the frequency step size), and then I get this graph. We are clearly seeing initiation of a bull run again. I was wondering if professionals consider this a reliable analysis of FX markets? All other forces of the market (ECB, Fed, rates, trade agreements/wars, Futures), they are perhaps unwittingly playing their part in helping this cycle evolve naturally? Or is this just a fluke?
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Forex Market Hours Based Strategy No# 2: Breakout Trading at London Opening Hours. The London session is responsible for around 30% of the trading volume, which is the highest among all major Forex market sessions around the world. Hence, often major trends start and end during the London Forex market hours. The main Forex markets, in the order of their opening times, are: Sydney, Tokyo, Frankfurt, London and New York. On the chart below, you can see the hourly course of the Forex-trading day. Note: Tokyo's market doesn't start in the proper time zone due to the fact that it opens 1 hour The continuous liquidity of the Forex market is based on the fact that the markets are opened for 24 hours a day in any part of the world. From the New Zealand open, going through Asia and until ... Forex market is open 24 hours a day. It provides a great opportunity for traders to trade at any time of the day or night. However, when it seems to be not so important at the beginning, the right time to trade is one of the most crucial points in becoming a successful Forex trader. The optimal time to trade the forex (foreign exchange) market is when it's at its most active levels—that's when trading spreads (the differences between bid prices and the ask prices) tend to narrow. In these situations, less money goes to the market makers facilitating currency trades, leaving more money for the traders to pocket personally.
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